Welcome to the Dengue Forecasting Project.

Several departments in the U.S. Federal Government (Department of Health and Human Services, Department of Defense, Department of Commerce, and the Department of Homeland Security) have joined together, with the support of the Pandemic Prediction and Forecasting Science and Technology Interagency Working Group under the National Science and Technology Council, to design an infectious disease forecasting project with the aim of galvanizing efforts to predict epidemics of dengue.

This interagency project will assess forecasts using historical data from Iquitos, Peru and San Juan, Puerto Rico. On this webpage you can find the forecast targets, dengue data, environmental data, submission procedure evaluation criteria, and a detailed description of the project. Information about dengue is available from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC).

Any updates will be posted here and on the the NOAA Dengue Forecasting Page where these materials are also available. For submissions or questions about the project contact predict@cdc.gov.

Timeline

  • Training data release for model development: June 5, 2015
  • Model description and training forecasts due: August 12, 2015
  • Testing data release for model evaluation: August 19, 2015
  • Testing forecasts due: September 2, 2015
  • Model and forecast evaluation workshop: date to be decided, mid to late September, 2015

Project Description

The project description can be downloaded as a pdf or word document: pdf docx